UCAM Murcia 3-2 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.57/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.34
-5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -28%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 0-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
3-2
AWAY Deportiva Minera
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia edged past Deportiva Minera 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 61% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera?

UCAM Murcia 3-2 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 53%, draw 28%, Deportiva Minera 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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