UD Logrones 3-0 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.18
Over
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
UD Logrones win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.25/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.68
+21% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Subiza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Subiza 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
3-0
AWAY Subiza
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones ran out comfortable winners over Subiza 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, UD Logrones had 46% of the ball to Subiza's 54%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Subiza?

UD Logrones 3-0 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 62%, draw 20%, Subiza 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ BTTS No
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