Utebo 3-2 Teruel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

Utebo
3-2 HT 0-1
Teruel
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.59
Over
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Teruel EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.54/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.08
+27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Teruel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Teruel Teruel 1-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
3-2
AWAY Teruel
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Teruel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo squeezed past Teruel 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utebo had 55% of the ball to Teruel's 45%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Teruel?

Utebo 3-2 Teruel in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Teruel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utebo 42%, draw 27%, Teruel 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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