Xerez Deportivo vs Don Benito Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Xerez Deportivo v Don Benito — Team-Based Signals
Xerez Deportivo vs Don Benito Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Xerez Deportivo
İS4
Don Benito
İS4
Xerez Deportivo 1-2 Don Benito — Actual Match Statistics
Don Benito squeezed past Xerez Deportivo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 56% of the ball to Don Benito's 44%, shots finished 12-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Xerez Deportivo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xerez Deportivo and 0.33 for Don Benito.
What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Don Benito?
Xerez Deportivo 1-2 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Don Benito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 51%, draw 26%, Don Benito 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.