Nueva Chicago 1-2 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
40%
2.94
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.9pp
40%
Draw
30%
+9.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.09/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.04
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
13.10.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
15.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
09.02.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over Nueva Chicago 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 40% / 21%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Moron found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.67 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron?

Nueva Chicago 1-2 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 39%, draw 40%, Deportivo Moron 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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