Boca Juniors 2-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 36% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.02
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
6%
7.2
X/X
13%
3.91
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
15%
5.89
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
+17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.8 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.57 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
392 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.05.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
13.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
29.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes
1.07 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
302 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors beat Estudiantes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 49% of the ball to Estudiantes's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.17 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?

Boca Juniors 2-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 45%, draw 28%, Estudiantes 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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