Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 20 Apr 2025

Central Coast Mariners
2-2 HT 2-1
Macarthur
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
31%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.25
1/2
6%
20.85
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
8.03
X/2 EV+ ✗
26%
5.04
X/X
6%
5.91
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.56
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · X/2 at 5.04 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.51/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.82
-12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
18.1 Crosses 22.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Macarthur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.01 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
402 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.12.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
10.03.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 0-3 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
22.02.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-3 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AFCC
29.10.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
11.03.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-1 HT 1-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
13.01.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-2
AWAY Macarthur
0.64 xG 1.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
250 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Macarthur at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 37% of the ball to Macarthur's 63%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.64 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.17 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur?

Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 26%, draw 20%, Macarthur 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macarthur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macarthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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