Daejeon Korail 2-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.09/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.98
-20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.08.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
19.04.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
15.09.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
20.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
01.10.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
27.05.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail beat Paju Citizen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daejeon Korail as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Daejeon Korail and 0.67 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Paju Citizen?

Daejeon Korail 2-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 50%, draw 27%, Paju Citizen 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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