Ulsan Citizen 1-3 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.12/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.01
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
17.08.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
20.04.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
15.07.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
02.04.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen got the better of Ulsan Citizen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Chuncheon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 0.75 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Ulsan Citizen 1-3 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chuncheon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 27%, draw 33%, Chuncheon Citizen 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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