Yeoju Sejong 0-1 Yangpyeong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.93/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.74
-19% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yangpyeong
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.10.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 1-0 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
15.06.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong nicked a narrow win over Yeoju Sejong 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Yangpyeong found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeoju Sejong had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 0.00 for Yangpyeong.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?

Yeoju Sejong 0-1 Yangpyeong in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeoju Sejong win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 36%, draw 33%, Yangpyeong 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeoju Sejong), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeoju Sejong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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