Mokpo City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.86
Over 2.5
62%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.81
No
32%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
50%
-11.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
50%
+11.6pp
68%
BTTS Yes
51%
+16.9pp
32%
BTTS No
49%
-16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.64/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.11
+44% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13 Corners 5
17.08.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
21.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
16.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.05.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
17.06.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-1 HT 3-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
05.03.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP nicked a narrow win over Mokpo City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mokpo City and 0.67 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Mokpo City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 28%, draw 29%, Gyeongju HNP 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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