Kerala Blasters 2-0 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 20 Apr 2025

Kerala Blasters
2-0
East Bengal
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024/2025

Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
3.37
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
18%
3.26
6+
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.37 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 42%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
3W-0D-3L
AWAY East Bengal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2025 East Bengal East Bengal 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
22.09.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
03.04.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-4 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
04.11.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
03.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
07.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters got the better of East Bengal 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was East Bengal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kerala Blasters and 1.67 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Kerala Blasters 2-0 East Bengal in the India - Super Cup on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 36%, draw 21%, East Bengal 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (East Bengal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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