Volendam 1-4 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Apr 2025

Volendam
1-4 HT 0-2
Excelsior
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Volendam vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.37
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.55
6+ Goals
15%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.12
1/2
6%
21.9
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
16%
7.02
X/2
10%
5.79
X/X
11%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.05
2/X
7%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.0pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.71/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.44
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
15.0 Crosses 19.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Volendam vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Excelsior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.70 xG 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
289 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
12.04.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 4-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
29.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
28.05.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 3-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
20.01.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.03.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-5 HT 1-4 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2

Volendam 1-4 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-4
AWAY Excelsior
1.41 xG 3.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
307 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 38
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior ran out comfortable winners over Volendam 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Excelsior made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 48% of the ball to Excelsior's 52%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.41 to 3.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Volendam and 2.33 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Excelsior?

Volendam 1-4 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Volendam 38%, draw 25%, Excelsior 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volendam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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