Ryukyu 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.39/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
+15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses 30.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
518 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
18.05.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
29.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
24.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
344 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Tegevajaro Miyazaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ryukyu had 52% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 48%, shots finished 3-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.50 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Ryukyu 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 31%, draw 30%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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