Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Stats & Model Review (Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Apr 2025)

Albirex Niigata (K)

0-2 HT 0-2

Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓

Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

24%

4.48

Draw

26%

3.45

Away

50%

1.69

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56%

1.67

Over 2.5

44%

2.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes

43%

2.06

57%

1.68

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

35%

2-3 Goals

41%

4-5 Goals

18%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

1/2

14%

1/X

X/1

11%

X/2

18%

X/X

16%

2/1

2/2

17%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

◎

Our call

BTTS No — 57% ✓

Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.

STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

24%

Home Win

19%

+4.5pp

27%

Draw

26%

+1.0pp

50%

Away Win

55%

-5.4pp

56%

Under 2.5

56%

-0.5pp

44%

Over 2.5

44%

+0.5pp

43%

BTTS Yes

44%

-1.2pp

57%

BTTS No

56%

+1.2pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata (K) v Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 22%

Head to Head

AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 59%

-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%

0.00/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.44

-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +40%

42% Ball Possession 58%

8 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Target 4

3 Corners 5

180 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

– Yellow Cards 1.0

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Albirex Niigata (K)

1W-0D-2L

AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67

36% Ball Possession 64%

7 Total Shots 21

2 Shots on Target 7

2 Corners 4

2 Yellow Cards 0

The Meetings

29.09.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

3-1 HT 2-0

Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL

02.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

2-1 HT 1-0

Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL

10.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K)

1-0 HT 0-0

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Albirex Niigata (K)

0-2

AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

38% Ball Possession 62%

16 Total Shots 16

7 Shots on Target 4

0 Corners 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) got the better of Albirex Niigata (K) 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 38% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 62%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 1.67 for Tokyo Verdy B. (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 24%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No

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