Bidco United 2-0 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 27%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.78
-36% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mathare United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
18.10.2024 Mathare United Mathare United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
06.11.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bidco United
2-0
AWAY Mathare United
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bidco United saw off Mathare United 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Bidco United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bidco United had 48% of the ball to Mathare United's 52%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bidco United and 0.50 for Mathare United.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Mathare United?

Bidco United 2-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 39%, draw 30%, Mathare United 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bidco United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bidco United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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