Talanta 2-4 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.86/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shabana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Shabana Shabana 2-1 HT 1-1 Talanta KEN
15.05.2024 Shabana Shabana 1-1 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN
POST-MATCH Talanta vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana got the better of Talanta 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shabana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shabana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talanta and 1.50 for Shabana.

What was the final score of Talanta vs Shabana?

Talanta 2-4 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Talanta 31%, draw 28%, Shabana 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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