Club America 5-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Apr 2025

Club America
5-0 HT 2-0
Mazatlan
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Club America vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club America v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.96/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.72
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.9 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Club America vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mazatlan
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.41 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 Passes 272
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-5 HT 0-4 Club America Club America MEK
22.02.2024 Club America Club America 2-2 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
07.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
29.01.2023 Club America Club America 6-0 HT 4-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
27.08.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
17.02.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK

Club America 5-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
5-0
AWAY Mazatlan
4.63 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
478 Passes 180
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club America vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America ran out comfortable winners over Mazatlan 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 67% of the ball to Mazatlan's 33%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 4.63 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Club America vs Mazatlan?

Club America 5-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club America 60%, draw 23%, Mazatlan 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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