Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-1
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
4-2
HT 3-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL edged past Pumas UNAM 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 48% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 52%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.79 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.33 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?
Tigres UANL 2-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 45%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.