Club Olimpia 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.63/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.42
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
29.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
16.09.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-3 HT 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
03.03.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
08.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
3-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia beat Sportivo Luqueno 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 56% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club Olimpia and 0.67 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Olimpia 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 46%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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