Libertad 1-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.53
-13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.01.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
02.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-3
AWAY Club Guarani
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani beat Libertad 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 61% of the ball to Club Guarani's 39%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 0.67 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Libertad 1-3 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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