Tondela vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Vizela — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Vizela
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
Tondela 0-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics
Vizela nicked a narrow win over Tondela 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vizela as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Tondela had 48% of the ball to Vizela's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.03 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tondela and 2.00 for Vizela.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Vizela?
Tondela 0-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Vizela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tondela 33%, draw 23%, Vizela 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.