Maritimo vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Mafra
POR2
4-2
HT 1-1
Maritimo
POK
3-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
PORLC
Maritimo 2-0 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo beat Mafra 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Maritimo made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Maritimo had 50% of the ball to Mafra's 50%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.24 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Maritimo and 1.60 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Mafra?
Maritimo 2-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 40%, draw 28%, Mafra 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.