Fenerbahçe 3-3 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.04
2-3 Goals
39%
2.22
4-5 Goals
25%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.29
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
23%
4.0
X/2
4%
30.0
X/X
8%
11.35
2/1
8%
21.65
2/2
6%
25.0
2/X
6%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.3pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.44/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.41
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.6 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kayserispor
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.20 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-6 HT 1-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
12.05.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
20.12.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-4 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.04.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-1 HT 2-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
04.03.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
03.09.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-3
AWAY Kayserispor
2.76 xG 1.37
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
455 Passes 151
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
50 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Kayserispor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Fenerbahçe carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 72% of the ball to Kayserispor's 28%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 2.76 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor?

Fenerbahçe 3-3 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 66%, draw 20%, Kayserispor 14%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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