Platense 4-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.65
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2026 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
19.10.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
11.08.2025 Platense Platense 4-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.04.2022 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
10.02.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense HON
27.09.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Platense vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense ran out comfortable winners over Lobos UPNFM 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Platense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Platense and 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Platense vs Lobos UPNFM?

Platense 4-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Platense 40%, draw 33%, Lobos UPNFM 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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