America de Cali 3-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.6 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
17.04.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
12.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
08.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
04.12.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.11.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
3-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.36 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
432 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali beat Millonarios 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 55% of the ball to Millonarios's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Millonarios?

America de Cali 3-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 44%, draw 27%, Millonarios 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
20 Apr 2026
00:10 Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin Analysis →
02:20 Junior vs Llaneros Analysis →