Gaziantep FK 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Apr 2026

Gaziantep FK
3-0 HT 2-0
Kayserispor
📅20/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.1
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.4
X/2
10%
6.69
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
7%
23.95
2/2
15%
4.33
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.4 — our 23% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.40
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.3 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.03.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.10.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-2 HT 1-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.09.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL

Gaziantep FK 3-0 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.42 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
453 Passes 354
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK ran out comfortable winners over Kayserispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 55% of the ball to Kayserispor's 45%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.42 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.17 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor?

Gaziantep FK 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 45%, draw 25%, Kayserispor 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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