HJK Helsinki 4-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.66
2-3 Goals
41%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.72
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
6%
13.7
X/X
10%
7.49
2/1
10%
19.3
2/2
10%
10.25
2/X
6%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.75/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.74
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.1 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
316 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
14.09.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
07.06.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
24.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
24.09.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.07.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
4-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.56 xG 4.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
408 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 40
5 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki saw off SJK Seinajoki 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 48% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 52%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.56 to 4.28 — on chances, SJK Seinajoki could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

HJK Helsinki 4-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 52%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →