HJK Helsinki 2-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.94
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
23%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
9%
6.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.7
2/2
14%
5.73
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.70/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.87
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.3 Crosses 19.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
311 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
24.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
24.09.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.07.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
03.06.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
18.09.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
2-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.23 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
244 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki and SJK Seinajoki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 41% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 59%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.23 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.33 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

HJK Helsinki 2-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 48%, draw 22%, SJK Seinajoki 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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