Ilves Tampere vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v Haka — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
1-2
HT 0-1
Haka
FİN
1-1
HT 0-1
Ilves Tampere
FİN
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Haka — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere nicked a narrow win over Haka 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 50% of the ball to Haka's 50%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.63 to 1.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ilves Tampere's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.83 for Haka.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Haka?
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Haka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 53%, draw 28%, Haka 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.