Oulu 3-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 35% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.24
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
9%
6.25
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.49
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.2pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
-17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.3 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
382 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
26.05.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
02.10.2022 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
3-0
AWAY FC Lahti
1.66 xG 0.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oulu vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu ran out comfortable winners over FC Lahti 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Oulu had 43% of the ball to FC Lahti's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.66 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Oulu 3-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oulu 42%, draw 30%, FC Lahti 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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