St. Louis 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.2
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.56
X/2
13%
6.43
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1
8%
23.5
2/2
12%
4.02
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.56 — our 20% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
188 Passes 414
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis St. Louis Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
21.02.2024 St. Louis St. Louis 2-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
2-2
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.82 xG 2.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
537 Passes 439
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis and Houston Dynamo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was St. Louis at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Louis had 54% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 46%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.82 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Louis and 1.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo?

St. Louis 2-2 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Open Cup on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 47%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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