Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orlando City 4-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City ran out comfortable winners over Atlanta United 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Orlando City had 40% of the ball to Atlanta United's 60%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.88 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Atlanta United?
Orlando City 4-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Open Cup on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 43%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.