Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.86
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
10%
5.4
X/2
8%
6.99
X/X
12%
5.84
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
14%
4.25
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -28%
1.57/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.59
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.4 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
418 Passes 380
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-2 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
27.04.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.11.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
20.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 1-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
18.03.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.07.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-1
AWAY Atlanta United
1.11 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
348 Passes 421
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Orlando City vs Atlanta United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Orlando City and Atlanta United shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Orlando City had 45% of the ball to Atlanta United's 55%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 1.11 to 1.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 42%, draw 26%, Atlanta United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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