Philadelphia Union 1-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.25
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.51
X/2
15%
6.24
X/X
12%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.5
2/2
14%
3.93
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -30%
1.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
-8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.6 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 473
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 2-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
30.06.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
11.05.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
1-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.09 xG 0.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
224 Passes 439
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 38% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 62%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.00 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Philadelphia Union 1-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 40%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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