DC United 1-1 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

DC United
1-1 HT 0-0
St. Louis City
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

DC United vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
17%
4.99
X/2
9%
6.92
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.5
2/2
17%
4.75
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.46/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.49
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.8 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

DC United vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Louis City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.95 xG 1.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
184 Passes 295
56% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 21
4 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.03.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 2-2 HT 1-2 DC United DC United ABD

DC United 1-1 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-1
AWAY St. Louis City
1.00 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
234 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH DC United vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and St. Louis City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was DC United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, DC United had 43% of the ball to St. Louis City's 57%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.00 to 0.94.

What was the final score of DC United vs St. Louis City?

DC United 1-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 42%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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