New York Red Bulls 1-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.71
1/2
6%
23.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
16%
5.69
X/X
10%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.8
2/2
15%
3.32
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.57/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
14.4 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
1W-0D-5L
AWAY New York City FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2026 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-3 HT 1-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABDK
28.09.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-3 HT 1-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
17.05.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
24.11.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 0-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
29.09.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-5 HT 1-4 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
19.05.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
1-1
AWAY New York City FC
2.41 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
282 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Red Bulls and New York City FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 43% of the ball to New York City FC's 57%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.41 to 1.53.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 2.50 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?

New York Red Bulls 1-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 39%, draw 24%, New York City FC 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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