New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
CONLK
New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past New York Red Bulls 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 53% of the ball to New York City FC's 47%, shots finished 10-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.50 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 39%, draw 25%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Under 2.5 went the other way.