St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
ABD
3-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
St. Louis City 0-3 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC ran out comfortable winners over St. Louis City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (68%) missed.
On the day, St. Louis City had 44% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 56%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.67 to 2.06.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for St. Louis City and 1.60 for Los Angeles FC.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
St. Louis City 0-3 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 28%, draw 19%, Los Angeles FC 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.