DC United 0-6 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.72
1/2
8%
21.7
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.1
X/1
7%
7.98
X/2
13%
4.64
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.49
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.95/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.41
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
15.8 Crosses 23.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
23.09.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
05.05.2024 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
27.08.2023 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 0-3 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
04.08.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United CONLK
18.05.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
0-6
AWAY Philadelphia Union
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
377 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
POST-MATCH DC United vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union ran out comfortable winners over DC United 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, DC United had 51% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 49%, shots finished 19-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of DC United vs Philadelphia Union?

DC United 0-6 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split DC United 27%, draw 28%, Philadelphia Union 45%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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