Charlotte vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Charlotte
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Charlotte
ABD
Charlotte 1-4 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal cruised past Charlotte 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Charlotte at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte had 41% of the ball to CF Montreal's 59%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.86 to 2.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlotte and 1.00 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
Charlotte 1-4 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 62%, draw 18%, CF Montreal 20%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.