Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire beat Columbus Crew 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chicago Fire found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 51% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 49%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.38 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.33 for Columbus Crew.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 38%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.