Philadelphia Union vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
CONLK
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
0-6
HT 0-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 3-0 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union ran out comfortable winners over DC United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 45% of the ball to DC United's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.50 for DC United.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Philadelphia Union 3-0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 27%, DC United 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.