Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
5-0
HT 3-0
Toronto FC
CONLK
1-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
5-4
HT 1-2
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 0-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC squeezed past Toronto FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day New York City FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Toronto FC had 48% of the ball to New York City FC's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.16 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toronto FC and 3.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Toronto FC 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 39%, draw 28%, New York City FC 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.