Charlotte vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-2
HT 2-0
Charlotte
ABD
Charlotte 3-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte beat Toronto FC 3-1 in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 2-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.
On the day, Charlotte had 46% of the ball to Toronto FC's 54%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.14 to 1.20.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charlotte and 0.83 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Charlotte 3-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 53%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.