Toronto FC 0-2 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Jun 2025

Toronto FC
0-2 HT 0-0
Charlotte
📅01/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Toronto FC vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.8
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.92
X/2
17%
5.18
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
4%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.06
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.8 — our 24% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.9pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.0pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toronto FC v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.05/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.6 Crosses 28.0
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Toronto FC vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
367 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 3-2 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
09.03.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
05.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
02.04.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
28.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 0-2 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
24.07.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-0 HT 4-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Toronto FC 0-2 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
0-2
AWAY Charlotte
0.72 xG 2.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
418 Passes 377
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 45
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Toronto FC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte got the better of Toronto FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; Charlotte found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Toronto FC had 53% of the ball to Charlotte's 47%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.72 to 2.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toronto FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Toronto FC and 1.33 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Toronto FC 0-2 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 39%, draw 20%, Charlotte 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5
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