New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.71
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
21%
4.87
X/2
8%
7.57
X/X
8%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.9
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.52/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.54
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.1 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 387
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
06.10.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
25.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-0 HT 2-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
02.04.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
18.08.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-0
AWAY Atlanta United
1.07 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
436 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls got the better of Atlanta United 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 55% of the ball to Atlanta United's 45%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.07 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.00 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United?

New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 52%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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