FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Jun 2025

FC Cincinnati
1-2 HT 1-2
DC United
📅01/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

FC Cincinnati vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
24%
3.93
X/2
9%
12.25
X/X
9%
6.19
2/1
7%
21.95
2/2
6%
10.15
2/X
6%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.72
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.9 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

FC Cincinnati vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
4W-1D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2025 DC United DC United 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.07.2024 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
10.03.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
25.06.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 3-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
09.10.2022 DC United DC United 2-5 HT 1-4 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD

FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-2
AWAY DC United
0.66 xG 0.86
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United nicked a narrow win over FC Cincinnati 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. FC Cincinnati carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 61% of the ball to DC United's 39%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.33 for DC United.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 57%, draw 22%, DC United 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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