New England Revolution 2-1 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

New England Revolution
2-1 HT 1-1
Minnesota United
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.39
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
10%
5.48
X/2
14%
6.07
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.43
+1% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.1 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Minnesota United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.37 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
20.06.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.03.2019 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
19.07.2018 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 2-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
25.03.2017 New England Revolution New England Revolution 5-2 HT 4-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

New England Revolution 2-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-1
AWAY Minnesota United
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 11
309 Passes 368
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
FAQ New England Revolution vs Minnesota United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New England Revolution edged past Minnesota United 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 46% of the ball to Minnesota United's 54%, shots finished 11-12.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, New England Revolution have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for New England Revolution and 1.40 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Minnesota United?

New England Revolution 2-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 40%, draw 26%, Minnesota United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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