New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 1-3 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC beat New York Red Bulls 3-1 away from home in the USA - Open Cup on 30 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-2.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 54% of the ball to New York City FC's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.75.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 2.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
New York Red Bulls 1-3 New York City FC in the USA - Open Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 36%, draw 24%, New York City FC 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.